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Brett Kollmann
Brett Kollmann

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Well that sucked...(plus Week 11 Game Picks!)

Welp...while I was out in LA with my wife this evening doing some photoshoots for upcoming Film Room merch releases (more on that later), my car window got smashed in and the inside of our vehicle got torn apart. Thankfully the thieves were incompetent enough that they totally missed my iPhone sitting in the rear door so they didn't grab it -- but still, as you can imagine this turned into a very, very long night for me.

Unfortunately, because of this incident I did not have time to do full analysis write ups for every single Sunday Game before I crash tonight, BUT...I still do want to post my picks against the spread for the week.

If y'all have any questions at all on individual games, why I picked the way I did, or of course any fantasy questions for the week as well, feel free to ask! I'll be answering them in this thread straight up to the 1PM game start times. As usual, all lines used in these picks were from Bovada. 


GAME PICK RECORD: 94-53-1

SPREAD PICK RECORD: 75-64-1 (54.0% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)


CARDINALS @ SEAHAWKS

GAME PICK: SEAHAWKS

SPREAD PICK (from Thursday): SEAHAWKS (-3.5)


STEELERS @ JAGUARS

GAME PICK: STEELERS

SPREAD PICK: STEELERS (-10.5)


LIONS @ PANTHERS

GAME PICK: LIONS

SPREAD PICK: LIONS (-2.5)


PATRIOTS @ TEXANS

GAME PICK: PATRIOTS

SPREAD PICK: PATRIOTS (-2)


TITANS @ RAVENS

GAME PICK: RAVENS

SPREAD PICK: RAVENS (-6)


EAGLES @ BROWNS

GAME PICK: EAGLES

SPREAD PICK: EAGLES (+3)


FALCONS @ SAINTS

GAME PICK: SAINTS

SPREAD PICK: SAINTS (-3.5)


BENGALS @ WASHINGTON

GAME PICK: BENGALS

SPREAD PICK: BENGALS (+1)


JETS @ CHARGERS

GAME PICK: CHARGERS

SPREAD PICK: CHARGERS (-9.5)


DOLPHINS @ BRONCOS

GAME PICK: DOLPHINS

SPREAD PICK: DOLPHINS (-3.5)


COWBOYS @ VIKINGS

GAME PICK: VIKINGS

SPREAD PICK: VIKINGS (-7)


PACKERS @ COLTS

GAME PICK: COLTS

SPREAD PICK: COLTS (-1)


CHIEFS @ RAIDERS

GAME PICK: CHIEFS

SPREAD PICK: RAIDERS (+7.5)


RAMS @ BUCCANEERS

GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS

SPREAD PICK: BUCCANEERS (-4)

Well that sucked...(plus Week 11 Game Picks!)

Comments

I definitely see why you were nervous about Robinson, but man 4 yards per carry from him against that front seven is IMPRESSIVE. Going forward I would consider Robinson to be damn near matchup proof.

Brett Kollmann

At this point you should probably just play Gibson no matter what. He’s having a fantastic rookie year and he’s clearly a focal point in the red zone

Brett Kollmann

Hey Brett, would you go Gio or Gibson in full ppr?

Sorry you guys went through that, Brett, that’s brutal. I’m in a .5 PPR, can’t decide between James Robinson, Todd Gurley, or Melvin Gordon. Right now have Robinson in there, but am worried that Steelers defense is going to eat them alive.


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