Career Forecasting: AJ Hotchkins

In this piece, I will take a young/raw/inexperienced prospect. I'll break down the said fighter and give my prediction on the career trajectory of the highlighted fighter, AJ Hotchkins.

Hotchkins has an athletic background as a former D1 college linebacker, playing for both Oregon and UTEP (University of Texas at El Paso). He was known as a hard-hitting and versatile defensive player, traits that have carried over into his MMA career. After college, he pursued professional football, playing in leagues like the CFL (Canadian Football League). His football experience is immediately evident in his athletic build and explosive movement.

Hotchkins also has a background in jiu-jitsu, which is clear in his preference for grappling during fights. Currently 1-0 as a professional, his game is understandably raw. At 29, with his athletic pedigree, he’ll need to develop quickly to remain competitive.

On the feet, Hotchkins shows flashes of promise. He has good movement, uses an active jab to target both the head and body, and incorporates teeps and chopping leg kicks effectively. However, his technique in extended combinations often breaks down—he tends to overcommit, throwing wild swings that leave him off-balance. While this is common for fighters at his stage, it’s an area that needs refinement as he progresses.

In terms of wrestling, Hotchkins shows significant potential but needs to polish his setups. He sometimes shoots from too far out or fails to disguise his takedowns with strikes. That said, his persistence is commendable. He drives through on takedown attempts relentlessly, and his ability to chain wrestle is a standout skill. Whether working from an upper-body clinch or transitioning to the legs, he showcases solid technique. He excels at intercepting a leg, pulling it tight to his chest, and either cutting the corner or running the pipe for takedowns. Hotchkins also demonstrates adaptability, securing takedowns both in open space and against the cage.

Once on the mat, he’s a problem. Hotchkins has already secured wins via ground-and-pound and submission, and his mat work reflects a clear understanding of positioning and control. He wastes no time clearing legs and passing guard after securing takedowns. Using outside wrist control, he lands effective ground-and-pound, and he’s smooth in transitions, often taking the back when opportunities arise. His top control is heavy, but he avoids being static, constantly working to improve his position.

In the middleweight division, Hotchkins brings a refreshing blend of athleticism, wrestling, and grappling ability. While he’s not a young prospect by MMA standards, he has the tools to carve out a solid career if he continues to make strides in his game. Signed to Fury FC, he’ll face stiffer competition once he returns from his meniscus injury, giving us a better sense of his long-term potential.